What if?
Flip the closest N seats from winner to runner-up. Watch the seat tally recompute. A thought experiment, not a forecast.
Simulate by
1002505001k2k5k10k25k50k
In a real political analyst's view, only seats with margins under a few thousand votes are credibly "in play". Slide right to widen the imagined gust.
After 15 flips
TVK109DMK61AIADMK46INC5PMK3VCK1CPI2CPI(M)2
| Party | Baseline | After flips | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| TVK | 108 | 109 | +1 |
| DMK | 59 | 61 | +2 |
| AIADMK | 47 | 46 | -1 |
| INC | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| PMK | 4 | 3 | -1 |
| VCK | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| CPI | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| CPI(M) | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Seats included in the flip
- AC 185TIRUPPATTUR · SEENIVASA SETHUPATHY. R → PERIAKARUPPAN. KRTVK→DMK+1
- AC 54VEPPANAHALLI · SRINIVASAN.P.S → MUNUSAMY.K.PDMK→AIADMK+138
- AC 229KANNIYAKUMARI · THALAVAI SUNDARAM. N → MAHESH.RAIADMK→DMK+214
- AC 66POLUR · ABISHEK. R → SARAVANAN. PTVK→DMDK+227
- AC 76TIRUKKOYILUR · PALANISAMY S → VIJAY R BARANIBALAAJIAIADMK→TVK+285
- AC 95PARAMATHI VELUR · SEKAR S → MOORTHIY K SAIADMK→DMK+308
- AC 137KULITHALAI · SURIYANUR. A. CHANDRAN → G.BALASUBRAMANIDMK→TVK+579
- AC 171KUMBAKONAM · VINOTH → ANBALAGAN GTVK→DMK+679
- AC 127PALANI · RAVIMANOHARAN. K → DR. PRAVEEN KUMAR. MAIADMK→TVK+693
- AC 72TINDIVANAM · VANNI ARASU → ARJUNAN. PVCK→AIADMK+734
- AC 201CUMBUM · JEGANATHMISHRA PLA → ERAMAKRISHNAN NTVK→DMK+751
- AC 80KALLAKURICHI · ARUL VIGNESH C → RAJEEVGANDHI STVK→AIADMK+798
- AC 218KOVILPATTI · KARUNANITHI.K → BALASUBRAMANIAN.SDMK→TVK+843
- AC 75VIKRAVANDI · SIVAKUMAR C → VIJAI VADIVEL APMK→TVK+910
- AC 108UDHAGAMANDALAM · BHOJARAJAN.M → IBRAHIM.RBJP→TVK+976